Rob Wiblin interviews Tyler. From “Conversations with Tyler”

  • Tyler: What’s the economic reason for having something outside the solar system?

  • “I think space is overrated”

  • “Space is hard”

  • Rob: But, in space we could get cubic growth, growing like a sphere

  • “Modal scenario”

  • “Play the dominant role in a mora calculus”

  • Humans won’t travel to other galaxies but couldn’t we create future intelligences that can spread to the stars? Self replicating probes?

  • “Future of humanity institute”

  • If you scare ppl too much (ex climate change) they respond with denial

  • Need a positive framing; scaring ppl backfires

  • Decentralized storage of power (batteries)makes it easier to transport power; create more powerfully destructive weapons

  • Surveillance = one of top 2-3 issues facing mankind

  • Air pollution kills 6-7 million people per year right now

  • Climate change’s biggest risk = how it impacts rise of other conflicts

  • Living a good life and making small improvements at the margin aligns with moral intuition

  • Moral consequences of our actions should bear on us more than they do

  • The long term is really important, but people need to focus on short term too to get to the long term

  • Always seek improvement at the margin

  • Common sense vs parsimony

  • Growth is more important than redistribution redistribution can play a role but economic growth Is far more important

  • Thinkers to follow Nick Pasha I’m at future of humanity institute Nick Beckstead wrote paper about importance of long-term future planning Derek Parfitt is the predecessor to the stinkers

  • Rawls was scared of economic growth I was promoted stagnation

  • Deontology

  • Tyler: creating economic growth will likely still lead to inevitability of decay eventually however what if he’s framing a new pascals wager where there’s a 1% chance that economic growth can lead to infinite power and he’s trying to encourage us in that direction and have faith in that direction similar to a modern days Pascal’s wager

  • Tyler specializes in being a generalist

  • Stop using abusive substances

  • Phillip Tetlock - does social science the right way (Google him)

  • What’s special about face to face = frontier issue right now

  • United States has a history of treating people poorly in a moral sense at times however we were also Perell is powerful enough to be in a position to do so. Tess small countries who have cleaner more records and saying we should be like them is begging the question because we don’t know what would’ve happened if they had had the power that we did

  • !!! Mid tier countries such as turkey in Saudi Arabia have far more power/clout relative to the top countries than they did 30 years ago!!!

  • Far more regional powers, could be stabilizing or destabilizing

  • Satre: “Three people is hell”

  • A fundamental perhaps insoluble problem of philosophy is how to integrate the claims if nature with the claims culture. Such separate here’s but they interact all the time

  • Moral arguments in southern stubborn attachments are contained with in a comnr osustainable growth for sentient beings it’s hard to draw moral arguments outside of that cone

  • Rigor is important but rigor and credentials are not the same thing

  • Bob katrell runs The Browser

  • I want to be a public intellectual

  • There’s market room for blogs like entities that refer people toward what to read

  • You need to invest many years in compound learning and stick with it

  • In order to entice appropriate epidemic jujitsu, Tyler is reluctant to move out of the 40-60% range on controversial issues (!!!!!! Wow!)

  • Write out opposing arguments to develop epistemic humility. Set off one passion against another (Madison). Can I express the other side as strongly as possible?

  • Ppl don’t want to acknowledge messiness of life and decision making

  • Were overly invested in narratives but narratives are impossible to avoid; we live this contradiction daily

  • Reads fiction to stay intellectually grounded/remember how complex the world is

  • On world government: “possible future but it’s not my modal prediction” (!!)

  • Greatest risk of climate change = or own response to it

  • AI right now is just “very powerful cash registers”

  • Augmented humans will likely outperform pure traditional robots

  • Materials matter; biological material has properties that silicon and metal don’t (says Tyler)

  • Moral realism can’t handle utility comparisons across different beings

  • What does crypto currency solve that we can’t do already

  • Ecuador, El Salvador, Panama use dollars

  • Don’t look for stirring messages; think about things more than once

  • Look up Rob Wiblin (80,000 hours)